Tillmans Corner, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

339
FXUS64 KMOB 260700
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
200 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

A closed upper low over southern Florida meanders north to over the
eastern Southeast into the weekend. Additional shortwave energy
swings through the upper flow over the eastern Conus, eventually
digging a mean upper trough over the East Coast by the coming week.
Weak and variable low level flow over the Southeast leaves a very
moist airmass (precipitable h20 values generally in the 1.8"-2.0"
range) over the region through the weekend. A surface ridge
organizes over the central Gulf, bumping moisture levels over the
forecast area up  a bit, to over 2.0". MLCapes rise into the 2500-
3500 J/kg range (sometimes higher) each day, with our pattern of
afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms continues through the
forecast. Add in DCapes rising into the 900-1200 J/kg range at
times, rowdy storms are possible each afternoon, with downburst
winds the primary threat. Small hail is possible with the stronger
updrafts, also. Convection is expected to form over the open Gulf
towards sunrise is possible as air temps cool to below SSTs
(currently in the mid to upper 80s), possibly affecting coastal
areas, and bringing possible waterspouts to our coastal waters.

Temperatures see a bit of a downturn as the upper ridge over the
Southeast weakens. Mid to upper 90s Thursday fall into the upper 80s
to around 90 by Monday of the coming week. Heat Indices remain in
the 100-106 degree range (locally higher) over most of the forecast
area, though, with the slight increase in moisture levels counter-
balancing the slight drop in temperatures. Low temperatures see
little variation through the forecast, with low 70s well inland to
near 80 along the coast expected.

A less organized onshore flow will create a Low to at times Moderate
Risk of Rip Currents through the forecast. /16

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Remaining convection over northeastern portions of the forecast
area is moving off, with general VFR conditions remaining. Another
round of showers and thunderstorms is expected around sunrise
Thursday, becoming more numerous and stronger in the afternoon.
Local drops to low end MVFR, even IFR in the stronger storms,
is possible. /16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Variable winds overnight will become a more moderate southeast
Thursday into Thursday night over open Gulf waters. Winds will
lighten and become more variable Friday through the weekend. No
other impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      94  72  90  73  91  73  91  73 /  50  40  70  30  70  30  80  50
Pensacola   93  74  89  76  91  76  92  76 /  50  40  60  30  70  40  80  60
Destin      93  76  90  78  91  78  92  78 /  50  50  60  40  70  50  80  60
Evergreen   95  69  92  70  93  71  93  71 /  50  40  70  20  60  20  70  30
Waynesboro  95  70  92  70  93  71  91  71 /  50  30  60  20  50  10  60  20
Camden      93  70  90  71  91  71  91  71 /  40  40  60  20  50  20  60  30
Crestview   95  70  91  70  92  71  92  71 /  60  40  80  30  80  30  90  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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